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Five Things to Watch on Sunday | Chargers vs. Chiefs

Here’s a quick game preview heading into Sunday

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to snap a two-game losing streak on Sunday in a divisional showdown against the Los Angeles Chargers.

Here are five things to keep in mind heading into game day.

1. Here's a look at the final injury report for both teams.

The Chiefs will be without offensive tackle Wanya Morris (knee), offensive guard Trey Smith (ankle), offensive tackle Jawaan Taylor (triceps) and wide receiver Hollywood Brown (personal) on Sunday.

Head Coach Andy Reid indicated on Friday that the combination of Esa Pole (left tackle), Kingsley Suamataia (left guard), Creed Humphrey (center), Mike Caliendo (right guard) and Jaylon Moore (right tackle) will likely form the Chiefs' starting offensive line on Sunday.

Additionally, cornerback Trent McDuffie, who injured his knee in last week's game against Houston, is listed as "Questionable" for Sunday.

As for the Chargers, they'll be without return man Darius Davis (ankle) on Sunday. Los Angeles also listed offensive tackle Trey Pipkins (ankle) and defensive back Elijah Molden (hamstring) as "Doubtful" for the game.

The potential absence of Pipkins, who took over at right tackle early in the season, would be a significant one considering that Los Angeles is already playing without its primary starting tackles in Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt.

Another status to watch on Sunday will be that of wide receiver Quentin Johnston, who was added to the injury report on Friday with a groin injury. Johnston is listed as "Questionable" for the game.

2. The Chiefs' defense has to generate consistent pressure on Chargers' quarterback Justin Herbert.

The Chargers have battled numerous injuries along their offensive line this year, losing starting tackles Rashawn Slater and Joe Alt for most (and in Salter's case, all) of the season. Those injuries have led to some significant protection issues over the course of the year, and since Week 9, only Raiders' quarterback Geno Smith has been sacked more times than Justin Herbert (23 times).

Philadelphia sacked Herbert seven times last week, pressuring him on 64.3% of his dropbacks (and often without blitzing), but to his credit, Herbert found a way to lead Los Angeles to a win despite that consistent havoc up front. Regardless, Philadelphia's ability to create pressure clearly impacted the Chargers' passing game.

The Chargers' top four pass-catchers, for example, in wide receivers Ladd McConkey, Keenan Allen, Quentin Johnston and tight end Oronde Gadsden – all of whom have at least 500 receiving yards this year - combined to catch just seven passes for 49 yards last week.

Philadelphia's pressure rate was the reason behind that collective lack of production, and the Chiefs will need to generate a similar result on Sunday. Fortunately, Kansas City is coming off one of its top games of the season in terms of disrupting the quarterback, pressuring Texans' quarterback C.J. Stroud on 66% of his dropbacks last week.

Defensive tackle Chris Jones tallied a season-high eight pressures, defensive end George Karlaftis recorded five pressures and rookie defensive end Ashton Gillotte racked up a career-best five pressures as part of that effort, all combining to hold Houston to just 67 yards in the second half.

If the Chiefs are to win on Sunday, the defense will need to turn in a similar performance against Herbert and the Chargers' offense.

3. Los Angeles owns the league's fifth-ranked pass defense.

The Chargers feature the league's No. 9 scoring defense at just under 21 points allowed-per-game, and at the core of that success has been their elite play against the pass.

Los Angeles is allowing just 173.2 net yards-per-game this year, which ranks fifth-best in the NFL. The Chargers have also allowed the fewest passing touchdowns in the league (12), their opponent passer rating allowed ranks second (73.0) and their opponent completion percentage allowed ranks fourth (60.4%).

Additionally, the Chargers' 15 interceptions this year are tied for the second-most in the league, and their four picks last week were the primary reason they were able to overcome the Eagles' relentless pass-rush in the end.

That pass-defense is the product of a strong unit at all three levels, especially up front. Los Angeles features numerous capable pass-rushers between veteran Khalil Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu and Odafe Oweh. Specifically, Oweh – who joined the Chargers in a trade mid-season with Baltimore – ranks third on the Chargers in terms of pressures (21) and second in sacks (5) in just eight games.

The Chiefs did a solid job of protecting quarterback Patrick Mahomes last week despite missing numerous starters up front, and they'll need to do so again on Sunday.

4. The Chiefs' current point differential illustrates what an odd season this has been, but there's still time to change that narrative.

Despite the Chiefs' record, Kansas City's point differential – at +63 – ranks 10th in the NFL. That figure is just 10 points behind 11-2 Denver, and seven teams in the postseason picture heading into Week 15 (the Jaguars, 49ers, Chargers, Eagles, Bears, Steelers and Buccaneers) own a lower differential. It's also seven points better than where Kansas City, with a 12-1 record, was at this time last year (+56).

That reality isn't meant as an excuse for the Chiefs' record, as losses count the same however they occur. Instead, what it's meant to show is what an odd year this has been for Kansas City, and it's actually historic. In fact, the Chiefs are just the second team in the Super Bowl Era to own a point differential of +60 or greater to lose seven of its first 13 games.

So, where do the Chiefs go from here? Well, despite all of those close losses this season, Kansas City still has meaningful football to play with a realistic shot at making the playoffs, but if the Chiefs are to make a run at salvaging their season, their ability to execute in the closing moments of games will be the key.

The Chiefs were either tied or had the lead in four of their seven losses this year, and in all of them, it just came down to a few plays. Kansas City will need to make those plays on Sunday.

5. Here's what a potential path to the postseason looks like for Kansas City.

While the Chiefs' current situation in the standings is far from ideal, a plausible path to the postseason still remains.

Here's what one potential path would require:

  • Kansas City wins its remaining four games (vs. Chargers, at Titans, vs. Broncos, at Raiders)
  • Indianapolis loses at least two of its remaining four games and does not win the AFC South (at Seahawks, vs. 49ers, vs. Jaguars, at Texans)
  • In addition to losing on Sunday to the Chiefs, Los Angeles loses at least two of its final three games (at Cowboys, vs. Texans, at Broncos) with one of those losses taking place to Denver in Week 18.

There are other things to consider if any three-way ties take place, but generally speaking, this path could get the Chiefs to the postseason. None of it matters, however, if Kansas City doesn't take care of its own business, and that has to begin on Sunday.

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